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2018 ElectionDemocratsNews/Opinion

Nate Silver Throws Cold Water On Theory That Dems Have The House In 2018

FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-Chief Nate Silver picked apart a theory that Democrats have already won the House majority in 2018, arguing Monday that many pollsters predicted former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton would beat President Donald Trump in a landslide in 2016.

“Seems like people haven’t learned too much from 2016,” Silver tweeted Monday. “Democrats are modest favorites to win the House, but not particularly heavy ones; less than Clinton was in Nobember 2016, and that race was much more competitive than news accounts implied.”






Silver was referencing an article in Axios with the headline: “Democrats may have already won the House.”

Clinton was an outright favorite leading into Election Day 2016. Even as results started rolling in on election night, The New York Times had Clinton’s chances of winning at 85 percent.

The Times was not alone in its assessment. ABC, The Washington Post, NBC and RealClearPolitics all had Clinton defeating Trump leading into the final days of the election cycle.

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Rusty Weiss

Rusty Weiss is a freelance journalist focusing on the conservative movement and its political agenda. He has been writing conservatively charged articles for several years in the upstate New York area, and his writings have appeared in the Daily Caller, American Thinker,, Big Government, the Times Union, and the Troy Record. He is also Editor of one of the top conservative blogs of 2012, the Mental Recession.

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