We’ve been saying this here for months now. Despite the polls that the mainstream media will release, despite the distractions that Democrats will try to create, and despite this perception of the President as so cool and intellectual that he can’t lose, Mitt Romney will be the new President of the United States come November.
A University of Colorado analysis of state-by-state factors leading to the Electoral College selection of every U.S. president since 1980 forecasts that the 2012 winner will be Mitt Romney.
The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth Bickers of CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction model stresses economic data from the 50 states and the District of Columbia, including both state and national unemployment figures as well as changes in real per capita income, among other factors.
“Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble,” said Bickers, also director of the CU in DC Internship Program.
According to their analysis, President Barack Obama will win 218 votes in the Electoral College, short of the 270 he needs. And though they chiefly focus on the Electoral College, the political scientists predict Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular vote to Obama’s 47.1 percent, when considering only the two major political parties.
“For the last eight presidential elections, this model has correctly predicted the winner,” said Berry.
The moral of the story here: Don’t believe the hype. Republicans and conservatives have the enthusiasm factor on their side. Just look at what happened with Scott Walker in Wisconsin to see evidence of this. Look at what happened when liberals tried to squash free speech with the Chick-Fil-A story. A sleeping giant woke up in 2010, and they’ll be finishing the job in 2012.
Romney will be the winner in November.